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Five Year Market Advantage Will Be LED Opportunity

Market conditions are right for the LED replacement lamp market to accelerate in the next few years, according to a new market report by Strategies Unlimited, the leading firm covering the LED market.

LED Market Advantages: quality of light, dimmability, controllability, lamp life and environmental cost of ownership.

Dramatic improvements in commercially available LED performance in recent years, as well as significant cost reduction, has made it feasible to design LED lamps to offer comparable lumen output and to compete with other established lighting technologies on the basis of cost of ownership.  

The market is in a state of flux as utilities, energy efficiency organizations and customers look for optimum solutions which save energy, minimize the cost of ownership, and give acceptable quality of light.

Customer Education

Customers are in the process of being educated about comparing cost of ownership rather than the initial price of lamps.

Regulations Drive European Market

Regulations in Europe will ban the 100W incandescent clear glass lamp starting in September 2009, and will progressively ban all inefficient incandescent lamps by 2012 and all incandescent lamps by 2016. The Energy Information and Security Act of 2007 began the process of restricting the sale of inefficient lamps in the US.

Market Opportunities for LED Replacement Lamps

By 2012, with a few exceptions, inefficient incandescent lamps cannot be sold. Although the awareness of these regulations is still weak in the marketplace, they will create market opportunities for LED replacement lamps.

Recognizing the potential of LED technology to save energy, policy makers have been supporting the research and development of LED technology and helping its commercialization.

In the short run, while LED replacement lamps become a viable alternative, regulators are encouraging compac t fluorescent lamps (CFLs).

However, over the next five years the advantages of LED technology over CFL will become recognized, especially with respect to the quality of light, dimmability, controllability, lamp life and environmental cost of ownership.

  • Some well-designed LED lamps already offer effective lumen efficacies that compete with CFLs.
  • The commercial and industrial segments will embrace LEDs to control costs and save energy.
  • The LED lamps will be used for directed light applications, in hard-to-reach places and where the cost of re placement is very high.

Replacement Lamp Market Growth Projected at 107%

Although the market for LED replacement lamps is still in its early stages of development, the lamp revenues are forecast to grow at a CAGR of 107% through 2013.

Strategies Unlimited explores the market potential for LED lighting technology in its latest report titled LED Replacement Lamps--Market Analysis and Forecast, 2009. The report analyzes five LED-based lamp types that are designed to replace lamps that currently populate billions of sockets:

  • A-lamp and globes;
  • PAR and R lamps;
  • MR 16's;
  • candelabra and decorative lamps;
  • linear fluore scent tubes.

The markets for five categories of replacement lamps are analyzed for market drivers and challenges, trends, units and revenues for 2008. The report also offers a five-year forecast for 2009-2013.

LED Replacement Lamps--Market Analysis and Forecast, 2009 is available from Strategies Unlimited at a price of $1,895. More information on the report is available by contacting Tim Carli, Sales Manager, at +1 650-941-3438 ext. 23, by e-mail at tcarli@strategies-u.com, or on the company web site, www.strategies-u.com.


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Energy and Green Retrofit for HUD-assisted Housing

ARRA provided $250 million for a new program called the Green Retrofit Program (GRP). It will provide grants and loans on a competitive basis for owners of properties assisted with project-based Section 8, Section 202 (elderly), or Section 811 (disabled).

The grants or loans can be used to make energy and green retrofit investments and to ensure the maintenance and preservation of the property. In return for the added assistance, owners must agree to extend affordability period for at least another 15 years. Owners must spend funds within two years.

The Office of Affordable Housing Preservation (OAHP) in HUD's Office of Multifamily Housing administers GRP.

HUD Notice H-09-02, issued on May 13, 2009, announced that HUD will begin accepting GRP applications on June 15 on a first-come, first-served basis.  GRP grants or loans can be up to $15,000 per unit.  Projects are expected to be completed within 12 months and in no event should work extend more than 24 months.  Though the GRP is a distinct program, it shares some elements of the existing "Mark-to-Market Green Initiative". In some instances, OAHP may make Green Retrofit funds contingent on the owner's agreement to a Mark-to-Market debt restructuring.

HUD's ARRA Energy and Green Retrofit webpage,
http://portal.hud.gov/portal/

HUD's OAHP webpage, www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/omhar/index.cfm


HUD's Office of Multifamily Housing webpage, www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/hsgmulti.cfm

Energy and Green Retrofit Section of the ARRA Statute, http://www.nlihc.org/doc/Green-Housing-Retrofits-ARRA.pdf
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Are LED Lights Part of the ARRA funding goals?

Have you thought of applying for projects that include 24/7 applications of LED lights in local public housing facilities?  Follow the money... here are some funding sources:

Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant (EECBG)

ARRA provided $3.2 billion for this Department of Energy (DOE) program, $2.8 billion to be distributed by formula, with the remaining $400 million to be awarded competitively.  EECBG provides grants to states and local governments for improvements in energy efficiency and to reduce energy use and fossil fuel emissions.  EECBG is a new program, receiving money for the first time due to ARRA, although it was authorized in 2007.  The block grant is administered by DOE's Office of Weatherization and Intergovernmental Programs in the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy.

Potential housing-related uses of EECBG include: grants to nonprofits to perform energy efficiency retrofits; financial incentives for energy efficiency improvements; energy efficiency for buildings; and, residential energy audits.  In addition there are many other eligible uses ranging from energy efficient traffic signals to carbon capture and sequestration from power plants. 

Applications from sates and local governments are due June 25.

EECBG webpage, http://www.eecbg.energy.gov

EECBG Financial Assistance Funding Opportunity Announcement (FOA),
http://www.eecbg.energy.gov/downloads/DE_FOA_0000013_Amendment_000003.pdf


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